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Break and retest pattern forms

by crypetonews
September 20, 2023
in Analysis
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Polkadot’s DOT token has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few months.

There are concerns about the network’s ecosystem as activity slows.

Circle has now integrated USDC into its ecosystem.

Polkadot price has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few months amid rising concerns about the ecosystem. DOT token plunged to a low of $3.90 last week, down by more than 50% below the highest level this year. It has underperformed other popular coins like Bitcoin, Tron, and Ethereum.

Polkadot ecosystem woes

Polkadot is one of the leading players in the blockchain industry. Developed by an Ethereum co-founder, the platform makes it possible for creators to build parachains that are interconnected with other chains. Parachains are independent layer-1 blockchains that transcend limitations of other chains.

Over the years, many developers have won parachain slots in Polkadot’s ecosystem. Some of the most popular Polkadot parachains are Moonbeam, Clover Finance, Efinity, Litentry, Astar, and Phala Network.

The challenge for Polkadot is that most of its successful parachains have struggled to gain traction in the past few months. A good way to look at this is its DeFi ecosystem. A look at DeFi Llama shows that Moonbeam is its biggest player in DeFi with a TVL of just $52.4 million. 

Moonriver is the 75th network with just $8 million. Other networks like Astar and Karura have $44 million and $8 million, respectively. Therefore, the network needs to see more activity in the ecosystem.

The most recent Polkadot news was that Circle decided to add USDC in Polkadot Asset Hub. This is an important move since USDC is the second-biggest stablecoin in the world with over $26 billion in market cap. The statement added:

“Polkadot USDC is the official form of USDC for the Polkadot ecosystem, providing developers and users with access to a fully reserved, dollar-backed stablecoin that’s always redeemable 1:1 for US dollars.”

Polkadot price forecast

The daily chart shows that the Polkadot price has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few months. This decline saw it drop below the important support at $4.21, the lowest level in June and December 2022. It has also retested this level, which is a sign of a bearish continuation

Polkadot has remained below the 50-day moving average. It has also formed an inverted cup and handle pattern. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the coin will continue falling as sellers target the key support at $3.70. A move above the key resistance at $4.50 will invalidate the bearish view.

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